Gojiberries (Page 17)

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5 is smaller than 1.9!

“In the late 1990s, the leading methods caught about 80 percent of fraudulent transactions. These rates improved to 90–95 percent in 2000 and to 98–99.9 percent today. That last jump is a result of machine learning; the change from 98 percent to 99.9 percent has been

Disgusting

Vegetarians turn at the thought of eating the meat of a cow that has died from a heart attack. The disgust that vegetarians experience is not principled. Nor is the greater opposition to homosexuality that people espouse when they are exposed to a foul smell. Haidt uses similar such provocative

The Best We Can Do is Responsibly Answer the Questions that Life Asks of Us

Faced with mass murder, it is hard to escape the conclusion that life has no meaning. For how could it be that life has meaning when lives matter so little? As a German Jew in a concentration camp, Viktor had to confront that question. In Man’s Search for Meaning,

Ruined by Google

Information on tap is a boon. But if it means that the only thing we will end up knowing—have in our heads—is where to go to find the information, it may also be a bane. Accessible stored cognitions are vital. They allow us to verify and contextualize new

The Benefit of Targeting

What is the benefit of targeting? Why (and when) do we need experiments to estimate the benefits of targeting? And what is the right baseline to compare against? I start with a business casual explanation, using examples to illustrate some of the issues at hand. Later in the note, I

AutoSum Plus

Nearly four years ago, I released autosum. Autosum exploits work by other scientists to harvest key points from (and key concerns with) a paper. The software grabs the sentence before or after the citation to build that knowledge. The output is pretty useful. See for yourself. But you could do

The Value of Predicting Bad Things

Foreknowledge of bad things is useful because it gives us an opportunity to a. prevent it, and b. plan for it. Let’s refine our intuitions with a couple of concrete examples. Many companies work super hard to predict customer ‘churn’—which customers are not going to use a product

Loss of Confidence

We all overestimate how much we know. If the aphorism, “the more you know, the more you know that you don’t know” is true, then how else could it be? But knowing more is not the only path to learning about our ignorance. Mistakes are another. When we make